Will a Manifold user show up in the same picture as Joe Biden before the end of 2024?
Basic
3
Ṁ60Jan 1
42%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves 'Yes' if someone presents an untampered picture of a Manifold user alongside Joe Biden in the same image before the end of 2024.
It is acceptable if the individual appears as a minor figure in the background, provided there is clear evidence of their presence. Only Manifold accounts created before Jan 2024 are considered
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold successfully predict the Time's Person of the Year 2024?
76% chance
Will a Manifold user show up in the same picture as Donald Trump before the end of 2024?
42% chance
Will a Manifold user show up in the same picture as Taylor Swift before the end of 2024?
48% chance
Will Manifold think Trump's threat to democracy was overblown at the end of 2025?
48% chance
Will Manifold be in the NYT again before the end of 2024?
63% chance
How accurately will Manifold predict the 2024 Presidential Election?
Will Manifold "be around" in 20 years?
51% chance
Will the number of monthly active users on Manifold drop between November 30th, 2024 and December 31st, 2024?
74% chance
Will there be a new Manifold partner in 2024?
59% chance
Will Manifold be prominently featured in a NYT article again before the end of 2024?
19% chance