Will the United States engage in a war with another country by January 1, 2026?
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1káš14962026
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Resolution Criteria: Specify what constitutes "engaging in a war." For example:
This market resolves to "YES" if the United States is officially declared to be in a state of war with another country by an act of Congress or if there is clear and widely-acknowledged evidence of sustained military conflict involving U.S. forces on foreign soil (excluding minor skirmishes or peacekeeping missions) by January 1, 2026.
Clarifications:
Define "sustained military conflict" (e.g., conflicts lasting over 30 days or involving over 1,000 U.S. personnel).
Exclude drone strikes, cyberattacks, or covert operations unless they lead to broader conflict.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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