If a Republican wins the 2024 presidential election, will they order military operations in Mexico?
Basic
11
แน3742029
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Many Republican presidential candidates have proposed using force against cartels in Mexico, but will they do it?
This market will resolve to yes if a Republican wins the 2024 election and orders military or special forces operations against cartels in Mexico during their first term.
This market will resolve to N/A if a Republican does not win the 2024 election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a Republican win Nevada in the 2024 POTUS election?
99% chance
Conditional on a Republican winning the 2024 POTUS election, will they have won the popular vote?
99% chance
Will a Republican win Arizona in the 2024 POTUS election?
98% chance
If the Republican nominee wins Nevada, will they win the presidency (2024)?
99% chance
Conditional on a Democrat winning in 2024, will Republicans attempt a coup?
18% chance
If a Republican is elected POTUS in 2024, will the US send troops into Mexico before EOY 2028?
9% chance
If the Democratic nominee wins Arizona, will they win the presidency (2024)?
77% chance
Will the U.S. be at war against Mexico by 2027 year end?
5% chance
Will Mexico become more authoritarian in 2024?
62% chance
If the Republican nominee wins Arizona, will they win the presidency (2024)?
99% chance