Will the climate heat up more than 2°C before 2100?
8
150Ṁ5092100
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves positive if the long-run [20 year] global mean temperature average raises more than 2 degrees C vs. the 1850-1900 average before 2100
Resolves negative otherwise
https://web.archive.org/web/20220518083042/https://library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?explnum_id=11178
If the temperature reaches 2 degrees C then falls back below that level the contract still resolves positive.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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