If polio is reintroduced in the Americas until Aug 25th, 2029, through which country will it happen?
46%
Other
38%
Venezuela
12%
Haiti
3%
Brazil
1.1%
Other country, unlisted here by the time the first suspect case arises

Related to the market: Will wild polio be reintroduced in the Americas before August 25th, 2029?

The resolution criteria is the same as the above mentioned market: only wild poliovirus count, and only cases that lead to local transmission count.


See also: https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/brazil-dominican-republic-haiti-peru-very-high-risk-polio-paho-2022-09-21/

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