Will Brazilian House Speaker Arthur Lira be formally accused of corruption before Jan 31, 2025?
Basic
5
Ṁ612Feb 1
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Context: https://brazilian.report/power/2023/06/07/speaker-arthur-lira-corruption-probe/
Resolves YES if the Public Prosecution Service formaly charges Arthur Lira of a crime against the public administration during the scheduled duration of his term as the House Speaker in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies. Developments of pre-existing accusations (i.e., charges already formally presented when this market was created) do not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will any member of Bolsonaro entourage be charged for taking bribes from the Saudis before 2027?
35% chance
Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
56% chance
By the end of Lula's term in office, will he have a better supporting score in the House than Bolsonaro?
55% chance
Will Lula's government have an approval rating of 50% or higher on December 31st, 2024?
47% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be taken to jail until the end of 2024?
8% chance
By the end of 2024, will the Brazilian National Congress pass legislation that ends reelection for future presidents?
21% chance
Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
80% chance
Will Lula be impeached?
7% chance
Will Mauro Cid lose the benefits of his delação premiada (plea bargain) before 2026?
50% chance
Will any Brazilian congressperson be considered punishable for sexist or transphobic comments until Jan 31, 2025?
6% chance