Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2100?
Plus
31
Ṁ10052100
53%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2100.
My intention with this market is to provide a way to capture the crux of whether people think RTAP superconductors are technically feasible from questions of rates of technical progress/discovery (but clearly I had to pick some timeline for it to be able to realistically resolve).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?
61% chance
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
11% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2038?
57% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?
56% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?
27% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2037?
39% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2036?
34% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2035?
28% chance
Will the room-temperature superconductor results of Lee et. al be reproduced by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2034?
26% chance