Will 50%+ of the Top Creators on the Manifold leaderboard by end of 2024 have 20K or more followers on their Twitter accounts?
Basic
8
แน€272
Jan 1
15%
chance

Resolves according to the generic market creation leaderboard at market close. If a user does not have a Twitter account, that counts as a "no" for resolution purposes.

Get
แน€1,000
and
S1.00