Will 50%+ of the Top Creators on the Manifold leaderboard by end of 2024 have 20K or more followers on their Twitter accounts?
Basic
8
Ṁ422
Jan 1
9%
chance

Resolves according to the generic market creation leaderboard at market close. If a user does not have a Twitter account, that counts as a "no" for resolution purposes.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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