Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?
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23
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34%
chance
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1M
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This question will be resolved as 'yes' if AP, Reuters, and AFP unanimously report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan. If one or more of those agencies cease to exist, the reporting from the remaining agency(ies) will be considered sufficient.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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