๐Ÿ‹ vs ๐ŸŸ: Will Whale trades outlast Minnow traders?
Basic
7
แน€707
resolved Mar 10
Resolved
YES

Rules:

This market has exponentially increasing difficulty for both sides. Where n is the number of days this market has been open:

Whales must hold at least 2^n YES shares, where n is the number of days the market has been open. For example, on day 10, that would be 2^10 = 1024 YES shares. On day 20, it would be 2^20 = 1,048,576 YES shares.

Minnows must have at least 2^(n/3) NO holders, rounded down. For example, on day 10, that would be 2^(10/3) = 10 NO holders. On day 20, it would be 2^(20/3) = 101 NO holders

If the Minnows fail first, this market resolves YES. If the Whales fail first, this market resolves NO. If both fail on the same day, this market resolves 50%.

Fine Print:

  • Bot and API trades (and traders) do not count.

  • I'll evaluate the holdings at 5PM PST every day.

  • Market close is indefinitely extended until one side fails

  • Alts are not allowed. I'll defer to moderators if there's a dispute

Get
แน€1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:

Day 8:

Whales 261/256 shares

Minnows 4/6 traders

Whales Win!

Day 5:

Whales 149/32 shares

Minnows 3/3 holders

The game goes on!

Day 4:

Whales 52/16 shares

Minnows 3/2 holders

The game goes on!

Day 1:

Whales 52/2 shares

Minnows 2/0 holders

The game goes on!

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