Will Père David's Deer (Elaphurus davidianus) become extinct in the current century?
Basic
4
Ṁ2072099
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Père David's Deer, a.k.a. Milu or Elaphure, is a species of deer native to the subtropical river valleys of China. This market will resolve YES if Père David's Deer is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100. Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual.
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P%C3%A8re_David%27s_deer
IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Extinct in the Wild
https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/7121/22159785
Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.
For comparisons with other species, you can find here more markets about species extinction risks:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the Leopard (Panthera pardus) become extinct in the current century?
27% chance
Will the Andean Bear (Tremarctos ornatus) become extinct in the current century?
38% chance
Will the Red Deer (Cervus elaphus) become extinct in the current century?
12% chance
Will the Giraffe (Giraffa camelopardalis) become extinct in the current century?
27% chance
Will the Snow Leopard (Panthera uncia) become extinct in the current century?
33% chance
Will the Cheetah (Acinonyx jubatus) become extinct in the current century?
34% chance
Will the White Rhinoceros (Ceratotherium simum) become extinct in the current century?
25% chance
Will the Wild Yak (Bos mutus) become extinct in the current century?
65% chance
Will the Jaguar (Panthera onca) become extinct in the current century?
33% chance
Will the Common Fallow Deer, aka European Fallow Deer (Dama dama) become extinct in the current century?
12% chance