Roland Fryer [Harvard Economist] Multiple Choice markets (many topics, many market lengths)
Basic
7
Ṁ2622031
64%
He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2026
58%
He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2025
57%
Will he have a child by mid 2026? Best wishes to him and his family
44%
He writes a book which appears on the nytimes bestseller list by mid 2029
34%
He joins George Mason University by mid 2026
34%
He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2024
34%
Harvard withdraws or softens the results of the investigations which found against him by mid 2025
31%
He spends at least a year overseas by mid 2029
25%
He retires from academic life by mid 2024
24%
He joins Manifold and is verified by mid 2026
24%
He wins a Nobel prize by mid 2036
16%
Harvard apologizes for the claims against him and admits they were without merit by mid 2025
All end dates are June 30 of the related year. I will resolve them as the time comes.
He seems like an interesting researcher and I wanted to try out a new multi-market general interest topic idea.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
When will Manifold Markets allow users to partially resolve multiple choice markets
Will I be able to filter multiple-choice markets by answers that I have traded in before EOY 2024?
28% chance
Multi Market placeholder 10 options
How to create a multiple-choice market with customised initial probabilities?
Ṁ500 bounty
Will someone link me to a good explainer of market – type trade-offs? Monthly markets for X, X options markets
61% chance
A market of one choice only
52% chance
Bounty for good explanations of how subsidies work on free response and multiple choice markets
Ṁ0 bounty