The original physical US Constitution is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031
Basic
8
αΉ4802032
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Current location: National Archives in Washington DC USA https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constitution_of_the_United_States
If it is are damaged or attacked for example in a political action, if is is fully repairable then it doesn't count as being destroyed. i.e. surface damage, clean, ok => doesn't qualify. but cracking or removing part of the parchment or text itself, which can't be fixed => counts as destroyed.
If the situation is uncertain, I may delay resolution until there is clarity. If there is no clarity after 6 months, then I may resolve the claim as YES it is lost.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
57% chance
Some sort of political protester manages to deface the US constitution by mid 2037
34% chance
Any of the Iranian National Jewels is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031
37% chance
Will the US Government repeal the US Constitution before 2100?
26% chance
Constitutional amendment by 2050?
41% chance
Any of the UK Crown Jewels is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031
17% chance
Which existing amendment to the Constitution of the United States will be repealed by EOY 2044 ?
Will there be a US Constitutional Convention before 2100?
38% chance
Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?
29% chance
The US political system will break down as badly as Jan 6 again before 2040
64% chance