The USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2030
Basic
4
Ṁ632031
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Due to any enemy action, it has to sink, be destroyed or inoperable. Hacking type attacks count if the ship is abandoned and can't be piloted.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?
46% chance
The USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2024
6% chance
Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?
16% chance
Will any aircraft carrier be lost at sea before 2036?
46% chance
The USA loses an aircraft carrier anytime til EOY 2028
16% chance
[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?
34% chance
The USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2026
5% chance
Will an F-35 be lost by the US in 2025
60% chance
Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?
59% chance
Will the USA fight a major land war by 2035?
44% chance