Will Nicola Sturgeon be charged with a fraud-related crime by 19 July 2025?
Basic
5
Ṁ3002025
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There is a police investigation ongoing into possible fundraising fraud in the SNP. Surgeon was arrested in June and released without charge. Will she be charged?
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Branchform
(She needs to be charged with something related to the fraud case for it to count.)
Being charged on 19th July counts. UK time.
I will not bet in this market just in case there ends up being a judgement call, but I expect it'll be clear cut.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a Hylion executive be convicted of fraud before 2030?
40% chance
Will Humza Yousaf be First Minister of Scotland at the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will JK Rowling be charged under The Hate Crime and Public Order (Scotland) Act 2021 by the end of 2026?
9% chance
Will there be a Scottish Parliament election by the end of 2025?
24% chance
Will anyone be charged with a criminal offence in connection with gambling on the timing of the UK General Election?
16% chance
Will Scott Morrison (Former Australian PM) be charged with a crime by 2030
23% chance
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2029 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?
33% chance
Who will be First Minister of Scotland on July 1st 2026?
Will Scott Alexander be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
4% chance
Will Folasade Ayoola (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
20% chance