Will there be a decent-budget biopic about Richard Stallman within ten years of his death?
Mini
8
Ṁ153
2100
25%
chance

Decent budget is defined as >$7 million (2023 USD, production + marketing). Biopic is defined as showing any part of his life, but with him as the main character (eg. The Challenger Disaster (2013) would count as a Feynman biopic, but for the budget [highly recommended, btw]).

Market set to close in 2100 in order to manifest his continued existence.

Resolves N/A if there are no movies with a production budget (marketing ignored) >$7M at the end of the 10-year duration (and it hasn't already resolved YES) due to AI generated movies taking center stage. Resolves NO if there are no such movies due to economic collapse, etc.- there must be a replacement for this to resolve N/A.

I won't participate in this market due to the potential for ambiguity around edge cases.

Inspired by a HackerNews thread.

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