Will there be a company larger than the US Government by 2040?
Plus
16
Ṁ2962040
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if there is a company on earth that collects more revenue (in US dollars) than the US federal government in a calendar year by 2040.
In 2023, the US federal government’s revenue was 4.44 trillion, and the world’s largest company be revenue, Walmart, did 639 Billion.
Some interesting statistics here:
https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/government-revenue/
https://companiesmarketcap.com/largest-companies-by-revenue/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Comment hidden
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?
37% chance
What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030
Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (not a bank)
27% chance
Will a large government organization be run as a futarchy before 2030?
21% chance
Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (including banks)
56% chance
Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?
30% chance
Will there be more than 7 companies with market cap of > $1T by the end of 2024?
66% chance
How many trillion dollar companies will there be at the end of 2024?
What kind of presidents will we have by 2040?
Will a (new) technocratic government emerge by 2050?
57% chance