Will scientists find a continuous, million-year ice core in Antarctica by 2028?
Basic
7
Ṁ1322029
77%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The oldest continuous ice core in Antartica is about 800 thousand years, from the EPICA Dome C core (See: https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/3/485/2007/cp-3-485-2007.pdf).
This market resolves to YES if before Dec. 31, 2028, a journal article presents a continuous million-year or longer record of Antarctic Ice. A pre-print would be sufficient for resolution (provided it seems reputable).
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Antarctica be connected to high-speed fiber optic cable by the end of 2026?
27% chance
(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?
64% chance
Will the Antarctic sea ice extent reach at least 25 million square kilometers at least once this century?
15% chance
Will any country start mining in Antarctica by 2050?
74% chance
Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?
19% chance
When will the Antarctic sea ice reach nearly zero before 2100?
69% chance
Will a previously unknown civilization be discovered in Antarctica by 2027?
5% chance
When will the Antarctic sea ice extent fall below 1 million square kilometers for the first time?
Will scientists drill into the mantle by 2031?
36% chance
Will oil be drilled for in the field of the Antarctic Weddell Sea region before 2030?
50% chance