Will scientists find a continuous, million-year ice core in Antarctica by 2028?
Basic
7
Ṁ1322029
77%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The oldest continuous ice core in Antartica is about 800 thousand years, from the EPICA Dome C core (See: https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/3/485/2007/cp-3-485-2007.pdf).
This market resolves to YES if before Dec. 31, 2028, a journal article presents a continuous million-year or longer record of Antarctic Ice. A pre-print would be sufficient for resolution (provided it seems reputable).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Antarctica be connected to high-speed fiber optic cable by the end of 2026?
27% chance
(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?
64% chance
Will the Antarctic sea ice extent reach at least 25 million square kilometers at least once this century?
15% chance
Will any country start mining in Antarctica by 2050?
74% chance
Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?
19% chance
When will the Antarctic sea ice reach nearly zero before 2100?
69% chance
Will a previously unknown civilization be discovered in Antarctica by 2027?
5% chance
When will the Antarctic sea ice extent fall below 1 million square kilometers for the first time?
Will scientists drill into the mantle by 2031?
36% chance
Will oil be drilled for in the field of the Antarctic Weddell Sea region before 2030?
50% chance