Will there be a so-called "nuclear Saudi Arabia" by 2050?
Basic
7
Ṁ2802050
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if there is a country that becomes a significant exporter of nuclear energy by 2050, akin to Saudi Arabia's current role as a major exporter of oil.
This threshold will be defined as either (1) a country that exports at least three times its own annual electricity usage as nuclear power or (2) a country that exports more that the total electricity usage of France (for some given year) as nuclear-generated electricity.
Edit: Includes both fission and fusion-generated power.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Saudi Arabia have nuclear weapons by 2030?
36% chance
Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?
40% chance
Will Saudi Arabia and Israel establish diplomatic relations before 2025?
3% chance
Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
23% chance
Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?
35% chance
Will Saudi Arabia abandon (or vastly scale back) the NEOM linear city project by 2028?
81% chance
Will more than 100,000 people live in a line-shaped city in Saudi Arabia in 2035? eg The Line
34% chance
In case of a war with Iran before 2050, will Saudi Arabia runs out of water for its population?
68% chance
Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?
58% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
36% chance