If the US is nuked by 2050, which city will be nuked first?
Basic
5
Ṁ892050
9%
New York
14%
Washington DC
8%
San Francisco
9%
Seattle
9%
Los Angelas
13%
Other major city
17%
Non-major city (eg as a mere show of force)
21%
More than one of the listed cities in the same attack
If there's no clear first city, resolves to "More than one of the listed cities in the same attack"
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will any city get nuked before 2040?
29% chance
What will happen before 2050? (Mega market)
What will be the next city to be nuked? (add your picks)
What will be the next city to be nuked
In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, which country is most likely to detonate it first?
Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?
20% chance
Will nuclear weapons be used on Earth before 2050?
34% chance
Will any active city of at least 100,000 people be destroyed by a nuclear bomb before 2035?
12% chance
Will an offensive nuclear detonation occur by 2080?
44% chance
Will a nuclear bomb be detonated in space by 2050?
62% chance