Will Hong Kong leave China before 2040?
Basic
7
Ṁ1282040
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
China does not need to recognize that this has happened, so a situation similar (in so far as it can be) to Taiwan would count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will China control Taiwan in 2040?
36% chance
Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC in 2047?
53% chance
Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC before 2047?
40% chance
Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?
44% chance
Will Hong Kong be an SAR of the PRC in 2050?
35% chance
Will Xi Jinping visit Hong Kong by the end of 2024?
30% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
38% chance
What will happen to Taiwan before 2050?
Hong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?
39% chance
If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?
34% chance