If Vladimir Putin loses power before the end of 2024, will Aleksander Lukashenko lose power within a year?
Plus
15
Ṁ5332025
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves N/A if any of these hold:
a) Putin stays in power until Jan 01, 2025
b) Lukashenko loses power while Putin remains the president of Russia
Same question, but different time interval:
...within a year? (You are here)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Lukashenko survive 2024?
98% chance
If Vladimir Putin loses power before the end of 2024, will Aleksander Lukashenko lose power within a month?
45% chance
If Vladimir Putin loses power before the end of 2024, will Aleksander Lukashenko lose power within six months?
56% chance
Will Vladimir Putin and Aleksander Lukashenko lose power within one year of each other?
65% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the President of Russia at the end of 2024?
99% chance
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2024?
97% chance
Will Vladimir Putin lose political power in Russia before 2026?
27% chance
Will Putin still be in power by the end of 2026?
74% chance
Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?
68% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2026?
73% chance