The next time the US government issues an incoming missile alert, will it be a false alarm?
Basic
6
Ṁ1392080
83%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Hawaii_false_missile_alert
In order to qualify, it must be:
Initiated by a US government agency or official.
Sent to a broad class of people, such as all civilians in a certain state or city of at least 100,000 people. (With the exception of small groups of people such as those without a phone or who opted out of alerts.)
Occur in the US.
If the alert was sent by mistake or for deceptive purposes, this resolves YES. If it was sent due to legitimate, reasonable concern, even if no missiles were actually launched, this resolves NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the next use of a nuclear bomb in combat be due to a mistaken belief that another bomb was used?
30% chance
Will a nuclear missile be successfully intercepted in 2024?
2% chance
Will there be an accidental nuclear detonation in 2024?
2% chance
What country will detonate the next nuclear weapon?