By the end of 2027 will a deepfake of a famous person be reported as real by mainstream news organizations
Basic
8
Ṁ3212028
80%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A famous person in this case is anyone who has a Wikipedia page. Although most people who would have a deepfake made of them are most likely to be famous so I’m not anticipating this to be a random person with a Wikipedia page.
A deepfake will count even if the organizations backtrack if they originally reported it as a real video then it counts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?
66% chance
In 2024 will a celebrity loudly claim a scandalous video is a deepfake, even though it is not?
46% chance
Will a deepfake video cause a major political controversy involving a head of state by 2026?
61% chance
Will there be a celebrity scandal based on a video that was later shown to be an AI Deepfake in 2024?
17% chance
Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) before the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will an AI-fabricated police brutality video receive major news coverage by end of 2025?
37% chance
Will there be a ban on distribution of deepfakes of public persons in the US by the end of 2025?
24% chance
Will the US Federal Government make it illegal to share deepfake nudes before 2026?
47% chance
Will Donald Trump publicly use the word 'deepfake' before 2025?
78% chance
Will Meta release automated deepfake scanning for all images/videos before 2025
61% chance