Will Intel's lithography catch up with TSMC by 2028?
Basic
5
Ṁ852028
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Intel is in volume production of a higher transistor density than TSMC at any time before 2028
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2026?
66% chance
Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2024?
76% chance
Will TSMC introduce a new process with a node size smaller than 3nm by the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?
61% chance
Will TSMC announce any new investment in building a US fab by the end of 2024?
36% chance
Will Intels CPU market share drop below 60% by the end of 2024?
37% chance
Will Intel's photonics CPUs be available before 2027?
30% chance
Will a SMIC 5nm chip make it into production in a consumer Huawei device in 2024?
30% chance
Will a Chinese company make and release a semiconductor equal to or less than 5nm by the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?
20% chance