When will there be a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas War?
11
1kṀ5405
2026
1.5%
March 2025
13%
April 2025
22%
May 2025
11%
June 2025
52%
Other

Resolves when Israel and Hamas (or whichever authority governs the Gaza strip) agree to another ceasefire that lasts for at least a week or (without a formal agreement) large-scale fighting in Gaza stops for at least 1 month with reputable media sources indicating that this pause is seen as an end to the war (as opposed to a temporary break for a holiday or similar)

Note that the market resolves to when when the ceasefire begins, though the market will not close until a week/month after this date

Will add months and extend the market as needed

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