Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will any 'Green' party, except the DPP, win seats in the 2028 Legislative Election?
Basic
2
Ṁ152028
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Here 'green' means Taiwan nationalist rather than 'environmentally friendly'. (although the Green Party Taiwan is green in both senses)
To qualify for YES resolution, a party must be listed as a member of the Pan-Green Coalition on Wikipedia. Reiteration that the DPP is excluded.
Note that the NPP is not a member even though they are a 'green' party, but this could change.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pan-Green_Coalition
This is part of a series of 'long range' markets for the Taiwan 2028 Presidential Election, hopefully focused on questions that might bubble away over the next four years.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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