When will the next Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?
Basic
2
Ṁ1192048
33%
2027
17%
2032
17%
2037
17%
2042
17%
2047
Recent politburos have always included at least one woman. The 20th Politburo, chosen in 2022, is the first in decades that does not.
The 20th Politburo was also the first in decades to be headed by the same General Secretary who had headed the previous two, Xi Jinping. It is likely but unknown whether he will still be General Secretary in '27 and '32 (and beyond)
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/23/world/asia/women-china-party-congress.html
This market will resolve NA if there has not been another female politburo member by 2048
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