Will a supervolcano eruption happen by 2100?
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8%
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This seems way too high - there have been 2 eruptions in the last 75000 years, 3 in the last 340,000, and 4 in the last 640,000 years.
This probability would imply that there is a decent chance one is purposefully triggered, which we're both not sure how to do and seems unlikely to happen even if we did.
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