Will there have been a new president who isn't a Protestant or non denominational Christian by Inauguration Day 2045?
Basic
8
Ṁ2772045
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
New president means Biden will not resolve to YES, even if he has a non consecutive second term. I go by the presidents own stated beliefs while in office. If, for example, a president was a closet atheist but publicly a Protestant, resolve to YES if they "came out" while in office but not if they came out after leaving office. If the situation is truly unclear, I will spend 5 hours determining consensus from experts as to the President's religious belief, and go with said consensus, resolving to ambiguous only if consensus is unclear by 2045.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will someone other than Joe Biden or Donald Trump be inaugurated on January 20, 2025?
12% chance
What Religion will the next President of the US be?
Will there be a US presidential inauguration on January 20, 2025?
97% chance
What kind of presidents will we have by 2040?
From today to after the presidential inauguration in 2041, will the US have at least one president who is ___?
Will there be another non-white President of the United States before the end of 2032?
35% chance
Will the US have an Asian president by 2041?
49% chance
Will there be a US president who identifies as female by end of 2035?
62% chance
Will there be a third party US president before 2050.
33% chance
Who will be President of the United States on 1 Jan 2030?