Will "AI Timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
1
Ṁ50Feb 1
85%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post AI Timelines is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "AI Timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
79% chance
Will "Predictable updating about AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
53% chance
Will "A freshman year during the AI midgame: my app..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
43% chance
Will "AI catastrophes and rogue deployments" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
41% chance
Will "Talking publicly about AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "What I Would Do If I Were Working On AI Gover..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "An AI risk argument that resonates with NYTim..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "AI doom from an LLM-plateau-ist perspective" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Timaeus's First Four Months" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance