Will "And All the Shoggoths Merely Players" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Basic
3
Ṁ272026
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post And All the Shoggoths Merely Players is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Cohabitive Games so Far" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
55% chance
Will "Social Dark Matter" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
59% chance
Will "The ants and the grasshopper" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
89% chance
Will "GPT-4" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Dark Forest Theories" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "The King and the Golem" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "The Witching Hour" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Response to Aschenbrenner's "Situational Awar..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "Enemies vs Malefactors" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
17% chance