Will "ChatGPT can learn indirect control" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Plus
10
Ṁ4912026
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post ChatGPT can learn indirect control is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Steering GPT-2-XL by adding an activation vector" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
52% chance
Will "GPTs are Predictors, not Imitators" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
55% chance
Will "ChatGPT (and now GPT4) is very easily distrac..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "The Learning-Theoretic Agenda: Status 2023" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
47% chance
Will "You can just spontaneously call people you ha..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "AI #4: Introducing GPT-4" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "AI Control: Improving Safety Despite Intentio..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
86% chance
Will "LeCun’s “A Path Towards Autonomous Machine In..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "GPT-175bee" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "What I Would Do If I Were Working On AI Gover..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance