Will "Elements of Rationalist Discourse" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
2
Ṁ10Feb 1
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Elements of Rationalist Discourse is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Fucking Goddamn Basics of Rationalist Discourse" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
69% chance
Will ""Rationalist Discourse" Is Like "Physicist Mo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
28% chance
Will "Lessons On How To Get Things Right On The Fir..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
55% chance
Will "Against Almost Every Theory of Impact of Inte..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
59% chance
Will "Attitudes about Applied Rationality" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
43% chance
Will "Critical review of Christiano's disagreements..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
27% chance
Will "Basics of Rationalist Discourse" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
90% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "Sapir-Whorf for Rationalists" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance