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Will the Tontine surviving player count be 100 or less as of 2025-1-1?
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https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2023-3-25, 493 players remain.
The market resolves YES if the living count is 100 or less as of 12:05 AM EST on 2025-1-1, and NO if the living count is 101 or more at that time. It resolves early to YES if the living population should fall to or below 100 before that time, and to N/A if the game is canceled for any reason.
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13% chance