Today, about 10 million people are incarcerated worldwide, amounting to about 0.1% of the world's population. This question resolves YES if on 1 Jan 2070 more than 0.001% (which would amount to about 100 thousand people in today's terms) of the world's population is incarcerated, and resolves NO otherwise.

Since the resolution of this market may be somewhat subjective due to possibly changing nature of incarceration, it should be resolved

• To YES/NO if it is obvious and none of the major shareholders contest that resolution.

• To PROB given by the vote of a poll consisting of either trustworthy Manifold users (eg Moderators) or some future equivalent of that.