When will the first reputable AI-lab go public via a SPAC?
Basic
6
Ṁ75
2026
14%
H1'2024
14%
H2'2024
14%
H1'2025
14%
H2'2025
44%
No AI-lab goes public via a SPAC in '24 or '25

To define what a reputable AI-lab, it'll need to have some requirements:

  • A foundational language model comparable to the ChatGPT free model

  • I'll rely on Hugging Face and LLMSys benchmarks

  • In case of continuous controversy, I may rely on a poll of Manifold users

I won't bet. This market resolves at the announcement date.

Labs like OpenAI, Anthropic, Mistral, Cohere, Stability, AI21Labs, would count.

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