Will an algorithm be able to work on million-line codebases before 2026?
Basic
8
Ṁ1722026
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there exists an algorithm capable of reasoning over, answering questions about and working on codebases (not seen during training) with at least one million lines of code, to the same level as humans who are experts on these codebases, before Jan 1st 2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI system be able to fully refactor a 10k+ line codebase before 2026 ?
36% chance
In 2029, will any AI be able to construct "reasonably" bug-free code of >= 10k LOC from a natural language specification? (Gary Marcus benchmark #4)
82% chance
Will AI agents be able to regularly code small features for us in a year?
70% chance
Will AI be able to generate non-trivial, original codebase in a compiled language (C++, Java, ...) before 2025?
23% chance
Will there be entry-level AI coders by 2026?
61% chance
By the end of 2024, will there be a major security vulnerability reported to be caused by AI generated code?
60% chance
In 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022?
65% chance
One Year from now, will GPT-5 (or another AI model) be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program
8% chance
By 2027 will Adam be replaced by a novel optimization algorithm?
64% chance
Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032?
75% chance