Will we get AGI before 2027?
Plus
53
Ṁ63442026
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
AGI defined as transformative, at least human-level, but potentially superhuman AI, capable of doing at least any cognitive task humans can do, at least at human level.
Related to: https://manifold.markets/MarioCannistra/will-we-get-agi-before-2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2027?
40% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
47% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
40% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
13% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
15% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
60% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
64% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
60% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
71% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
65% chance