Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing)
Basic
9
Ṁ1852025
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US government commit to legal restrictions on large AI training runs by January 1st, 2025?
3% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny ≥100 countries)
19% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all, secret or no new licenses)
19% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny some entities)
82% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny ≤99 countries)
76% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow some local licensing)
7% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all, allow US or int'l licensing)
7% chance
The US, UK or EU put limits on training of AI models (eg $ spent) before 2024?
15% chance
Will the US require a license to develop frontier AI models by 2028?
50% chance
Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?
75% chance