Will US real-money prediction markets create significantlty more shenanigans according to Manifold ? | Manifold

Will US real-money prediction markets create significantlty more shenanigans according to Manifold ?

Basic

2

Ṁ20

9999

59%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

A year after real-money prediction markets are allowed in the US, I will run a poll on Manifold, asking if real-money markets overall create significantly more problems than non-real-money markets. This market resolves according to poll results.

If the date at which real-money prediction markets become legal in the US isn't consensual, for example due to legal technicalities, I may run a poll or defer to the resolution on markets about that.

I won't bet on this market. Feel free to ask any question, I'll try my best.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Prediction market

#Prediction Markets General Discussion

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Kalshi has been legal for some time now. https://kalshi.com/markets/topalbumyear/top-album-this-year

You can read about some real money issues here - https://scholarship.law.missouri.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=4418&context=mlr

Related questions

Will Manifold be more accurate than Polymarket in forecasting the 2024 election?

Will Manifold actually be able to implement real-money prizes?

Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?

If Manifold begins allowing real-money withdrawals, will its accuracy improve?

Will James' 100 USD prediction market product work for Manifold Love?

In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?

Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?

Will real money prediction markets become legal in the US by the end of 2025?

Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?

Will Manifold significantly improve the reliability of extreme market probabilities before the end of 2024?

Related questions

Will Manifold be more accurate than Polymarket in forecasting the 2024 election?

In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?

Will Manifold actually be able to implement real-money prizes?

Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?

Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?

Will real money prediction markets become legal in the US by the end of 2025?

If Manifold begins allowing real-money withdrawals, will its accuracy improve?

Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?

Will James' 100 USD prediction market product work for Manifold Love?

Will Manifold significantly improve the reliability of extreme market probabilities before the end of 2024?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules