Will Chandrayaan-4 succeed in returning samples from the moon?
Basic
7
Ṁ1392028
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If samples are returned safely to Earth, this market resolves Yes.
If Chandrayaan-4 is changed to no longer attempt a return, this will resolve No.
If the Chandrayaan-4 program is officially cancelled, this will resolve No.
Let me know if you think of other conditions or edge cases I should clarify.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Which of these will successfully land on the Moon in 2024?
Will CNSA's Chang'e 6 mission successfully return a sample from the moon?
99% chance
Will Intuitive Machine's IM-2 mission successfully land on the moon?
70% chance
Will Tianwen-3 successfully return a sample from Mars?
40% chance
Will Intuitive Machine's IM-3 mission successfully land on the moon?
73% chance
Will NASA bring back Mars samples to Earth before China?
50% chance
Will China successfully complete a Mars Sample Return mission before the USA and Europe do?
34% chance
Will India land people on the moon by 2040?
56% chance
Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon?
74% chance
Before which year will a Venus Sample Return Mission be successfully completed?