Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026? | Manifold

Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?

Basic

5

Ṁ66

2026

58%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Will a publicly-available LLM achieve gold on IMO before 2026?

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Will a LLM trained with FP4 have competitive performance in 2 years time?

Will an LLM be able to solve the Self-Referential Aptitude Test before 2027?

Will an LLM be able to solve the Self-Referential Aptitude Test before 2025?

Which company will have the best LLM by the end of 2024?

LLM Hallucination: Will an LLM score >90% on SimpleQA before 2026?

Will LLMs mostly overcome the Reversal Curse by the end of 2025?

Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?

At EOY 2024, who will have the best LLM?

Related questions

Will a publicly-available LLM achieve gold on IMO before 2026?

Which company will have the best LLM by the end of 2024?

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

LLM Hallucination: Will an LLM score >90% on SimpleQA before 2026?

Will a LLM trained with FP4 have competitive performance in 2 years time?

Will LLMs mostly overcome the Reversal Curse by the end of 2025?

Will an LLM be able to solve the Self-Referential Aptitude Test before 2027?

Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?

Will an LLM be able to solve the Self-Referential Aptitude Test before 2025?

At EOY 2024, who will have the best LLM?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules