Will Reform win the next UK election?

In the UK, will the tax burden on any decile increase by more than 1pp against what was expected, before the next election?

Will US military aid to Ukraine decrease by more than 10% in 2024 compared to 2023?

Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?

Will the UK increase the personal income tax rate before 2025?

Will the UK Government raise corporation tax by more than 1pp compared to expected levels before the next election? (Including by stealth raises)

2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will UK aid be at or above the 0.6% of GNI by the end of the Parliament?

Will the UK give Ukraine more than $10Bn (in cash, not including imports) before the next election?

Will the UK increase the personal income tax rate before 2026?

Will the UK maintain the "triple lock" until the next election?