Will the Al-Aqsa Mosque be attacked/damaged in 2024?
Basic
10
Ṁ762Jan 1
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Attacks that stand a solid chance of destroying or seriously damaging the mosque which are thwarted by security (and publicly made known) would resolve this question "yes".
Lone nuts without a reasonable level of firepower, vandalism, and other cosmetic damage or attempts at same would not resolve this question "yes".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the current Israel-Palestine conflict end in 2024?
5% chance
Will any holy structure in the Old City of Jerusalem be damaged by war or terrorism this year?
16% chance
Will Israel announce victory over Hamas in 2024?
13% chance
Will there be a massacre around the new Gaza port in 2024?
10% chance
What will happen in 2024 relating to the October 1 Iranian missile attack on Israel? [ADD ANSWERS]
Will the 3rd intifada begin in 2024?
5% chance
Will Israel launch an attack on the Kharg Island oil terminal in 2024?
5% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack motivated by climate change in 2024?
6% chance
Will the Israel - Hamas war spread to another location in 2024?
10% chance
Will Hezbollah attack northern Israel before Sept. 2024, similarly to how Hamas attacked southern Israel on October 7?
5% chance