German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to tale place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to which party wins the most seats in the Bundestag (Germany's lower house) as a result of the next German parliamentary election.
If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "NA".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the final total number of seats won by each party, including any overhang mandates (Überhangmandate) and balancing mandates (Ausgleichsmandate), as reflected in the official results.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Note: The CDU and CSU will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market.