Nikola
@Nikola
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I don't condition on humanity still existing when buying questions. My policy is to buy questions in the direction of my subjective probability, even if this will predictably lead to me losing mana on extinction-related markets in worlds where we live. I want to maximize how reasonable my guesses are to future historians (who look back and condition on the information we had available today), not how much mana I have in worlds where I survive.
Portfolio
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