When will Putin die?
Basic
18
Ṁ1.6k2034
1D
1W
1M
ALL
7%
Before 2025
15%
Before 2026
20%
Before 2027
23%
Before 2028
28%
Before 2029
29%
Before 2030
31%
Before 2031
34%
Before 2032
45%
Before 2033
49%
Before 2034
The market will resolve positively as soon as there are credible news of Vladimir Putin dying (from natural causes or otherwise).
The option "Before X" will resolve negatively if Russian state TV broadcasts Putin's New Year address for the year X and there is no significant controversy regarding it being being fake (AI-generated, double etc.) If in a given year Putin doesn't deliver the New Year address or it is difficult to ascertain its authenticity, the option will resolve negatively as soon as Putin makes a public appearance in the new year.
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