Will the oldest person alive in 2030 be at least 120 years old?
Basic
8
Ṁ1502031
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The oldest person alive as of writing this question is 116 years old. Only one known person in history lived to be 120 years old (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeanne_Calment).
The question will resolve to YES if the oldest person listed on https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_oldest_living_people in 2030 is at least 120 full years old.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will we see someone live to 120 years old by 2030?
23% chance
What will be the age of the oldest person alive in 2100?
148
Will anyone be at least 140 years old by 2072?
31% chance
By the end of 2043, will the world record for oldest living person ever be beaten by 5 years?
35% chance
Will I live to be over 120 years old?
27% chance
Will anyone be at least 130 years old by 2072?
51% chance
Will someone break the record for longest human lifespan by EOY 2035? (122 years 164 days)
53% chance
Will anyone other than Jeanne Calment reach 120 years of age before 2030?
34% chance
When will somebody reach the age of 120 again?
Will anyone be at least 150 years old by 2072?
11% chance