Will embryo selection be mentioned during a U.S. presidential debate before 2030?
Basic
5
Ṁ502030
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if any candidate mentions "embryo selection" during a major (non-VP) presidential debate before 2030. Resolves to NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
44% chance
Will over 1,000,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
28% chance
Embryo Selection—2050
25% chance
What will be the first ten countries to do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
Before 2026, will any US state introduce legislation regulating the genetic screening of embryos?
31% chance
Will the United States elect a woman president by 2030?
65% chance
Will over 10,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
84% chance
Will a US presidential candidate promise a national ban on cell-cultivated, lab-grown meat before 2030?
52% chance
Will Republicans support embryo selection for intelligence more than Democrats?
29% chance
Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
42% chance